Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014

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Liz MacPherson Government Statistician and Chief Executive, Statistics NZ - speaking at Seismics and the City 2014 Building Evidence: Statistical tools and surveys

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  • 1. Released 18 February 2014 2013 Census QuickStats about greater Christchurch

2. 4 Census usually resident population count now 436,056 3. Cultural diversity 1 in 5 people in greater Christchurch area is born overseas compared to 1 in 4 nationally Of those overseas-born residents that moved to New Zealand in the past 2 years, the six most common countries of birth are: 5 4. More young males 6 52.3% (46,242) of people aged 15 to 29 are male Almost 3,000 males in this age group arrived from overseas in the last 2 years Of these, 2,000 are employed Of those males who have arrived from overseas and are employed: 25% are working in construction: the majority coming from Ireland and England 5. but less young females 47.7% (42,111) of people aged 15 to 29 are female The top three industries for this group are: retail trade, accommodation, and health care and social assistance 30% of those working in health care and social assistance are born overseas 7 6. Fewer school aged children 4% decrease in school aged children 29.3% increase in Selwyn district 6.6% increase in Waimakariri district 9.7% decrease in Christchurch city The area units with the largest decreases were: Bexley, Aranui and Dallington The area units with the largest increase were: Rolleston, Lehmans (Rangiora) and Pegasus 8 7. Population movement Since 2008, 81,000 people arrived 27,726 from overseas 5,454 from Auckland 2,256 from Dunedin 1,752 from Wellington Since 2008, 38,000 people left and moved to: North Island (19,437), other parts of Canterbury (5,802), elsewhere in South Island (12,591) 9 8. Most people remained in the area Greater Christchurch population was 436,000 Of the people living in greater Christchurch in 2008: 89.2% still living in greater Christchurch in 2013 48.6% of people lived at same address Change within greater Christchurch Christchurch city decreased 2% (6,987) to 341,469 Selwyn increased by 33% (10,953) to 44,595 Waimakariri increased by 17% (7,155) to 49,989 10 9. Dwellings 11 81% increase in unoccupied private dwellings National increase was 16% Christchurch city most change is seen in the eastern suburbs 10. 12 11. 13 12. Labour market, industry and retail trade statistics 13. Employment strong in greater Chch Labour market and industry statistics 15 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 D 03 D 04 D 05 D 06 D 07 D 08 D 09 D 10 D 11 D 12 D 13 Percent Employment rate Greater Christchurch Quarterly Source: Statistics New Zealand 0 September 2010 earthquake February 2011 earthquake 14. Youth NEET rate continues to fall Youth (1524) in employment 45,300 In study 37,400 Unemployed 2,900 NEET 5,100 Youth NEET rate 7.5 percent Labour market and industry statistics 16 0 5 10 15 20 D 09 M 10 J S D M 11 J S D M 12 J S D M 13 J S D Percent Actual Annual average Source: Statistics New Zealand Youth NEET rate Greater Christchurch Quarterly 15. Digging behind the industry changes Growth in construction jobs had come from: Just over 2,200 people moving into Canterbury to a construction firm Nearly 2,600 people already in Canterbury joining a Construction firm! From within Canterbury, people in retail, accommodation, and admin/support companies have joined construction firms. Labour market and industry statistics 17 16. Value of Building Work 18 17. Christchurch Retail Trade Indicator 19 18. More information releases QuickStats about Housing 2013 Census meshblock dataset tables Business demography data Construction information (including earthquake related consents and value of building releases) 20 19. Evidence and the roadmap to recovery: How can we help you? Seismic & the City 2014 Dr Vivienne Ivory Opus Research 20. Where? Who? When? Familiar questions 21. Where? Who? When? Research questions How is the city changing in response to quakes? What effect will ongoing changes have on Christchurchs future recovery? Questions I am often asked 22. Quick Alternative Helpful Creating agile evidence for the recovery phase 23. Quick Alternative Helpful Creating agile evidence for the recovery phase Mail redirections NZ Post Electronic payment transactions Paymark Business demographics Statistics NZ 24. Agile evidence to understand patterns of change Mail redirections: Visualising patterns of relocation 25. Agile evidence to understand patterns of change Volume of electronic fast-food transactions (June 2010 May 2012) 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 100000 Numberoftransactions Hornby North Russley Riccarton Cathedral Square Northcote Papanui Linwood Sydenham Electronic payment transactions: Flows in economic activity between business locations 26. Agile evidence to understand patterns of change Business demographics: Observing the changing nature of business locations 27. Can we try a different (better, more vibrant) central city? Current evidence Quality of neighbourhood life Healthy lifestyle is easy Non-suburban lifestyle Will it still work over the prolonged rebuild phase? Agile evidence to test future recovery routes 28. A liveable central city? Potential resident priorities 29. Or? 30. Moving towards the future Diverse housing & neighbourhood options Meeting normal needs Positive reasons to moving in early Integrating resident and business sector

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