CMIP5 マルチ気候モデルにおける ヤマセに関連する大規模大気循環の 再現性と将来変化(その2)

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2013.3.7 . CMIP5 . . . CMIP5 . . . 2003 . Z500. SLP. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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CMIP5

2013.3.71CMIP5

2

2003

2010 Z500SLPT8503

Z500-Z1000SB 60-65N, 140-150EPC 40-45N, 150-160ESP SB-PCZ1000T850Tachibana et al. (2004, 2005)

Z500SB-indexPC-index4

PDWS = PDWSKanno (2004)5

JPZI_S: 130-160E, 35-45NJPZI_N: 130-160E, 55-65NJPZIJPZI JPZI_S JPZI_NJPZI500hPa 6JPZI

JRA-25198120057

JPZIJPZI_NJPZI_SJPZI_NJPZI_S: 77

JPZI19812005JPZIJPZI8

JPZIJPZIJPZIJPZIJPZI919812005CMIP5: 5th Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project IPCC20200300km

2045RCP4.5RCP8.536CMIP510JPZIJRA-25JPZI19812005

11130-160E

JPZI140-150E JPZI12

JPZIJRAJRA

JRA/13/SST CMIP3 CMIP5

JRA-25CMIP5 CMIP3 JPZI14JPZI19812005

500hPa# Z500# 70%RCP4.5RCP8.515

JPZIJPZIJPZI_NJPZI_SRCP4.5RCP8.5 = 1.01.0JPZIJPZI_S16500hPaJPZICMIP5JPZI500hPa17

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